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Indianapolis vs Jacksonville: Receptions Ladder
kalshi

What is the result of Indianapolis vs Jacksonville?

Volume:
$181

Jonathan Taylor

 - Kalshi

Jonathan Taylor - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 4:39 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jonathan Taylor

View
20%
Yes 20¢No 80¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Josh Downs

20%
Yes 20¢No 80¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Tyler Warren

20%
Yes 20¢No 80¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Bhayshul Tuten

10%
Yes 10¢No 90¢
—
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Parker Washington

5%
Yes 5¢No 95¢
—
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
$115
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Brian Thomas Jr.

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the number of receptions by specific Indianapolis and Jacksonville players in their upcoming football game. Participants can bet on whether each player's receptions will meet a payout threshold based on a per-reception rate, with returns scaling linearly up to a maximum cap.

Kalshi

All three markets function as scalar outcome contracts tied to the number of receptions recorded by designated Indianapolis and Jacksonville players in the game scheduled for November 1, 2026. Each 'Yes' contract pays $0.05 per documented reception, up to a maximum payout of $1.00, which corresponds to 20 receptions. The 'No' contract pays the remainder of the $1.00 stake not allocated to the 'Yes' outcome. Payouts are proportional to the holder’s position size, meaning that if a player records 8 receptions, the 'Yes' contract pays $0.40 and the 'No' contract pays $0.60. This structure applies uniformly across all three player-specific markets, with identical payout mechanics and caps. The event resolves based on official game statistics, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NFL.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or changes in player roles – the prediction market can adjust more quickly than traditional sportsbooks. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early in the trading period, as the market incorporates new data and perspectives.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different reception totals for players. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time. The market depth and order book are visible on the Kalshi interface, allowing traders to assess the current state of supply and demand.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official NFL statistics for the game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for each player will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the official data released by the NFL, and any disputes will be resolved based on that source. Traders should monitor official NFL reporting to understand the final results and how they impact the market's outcome.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports are crucial; if a key receiver is ruled out, the reception opportunities for other players will increase, shifting the odds. Changes in game strategy or weather conditions could also influence passing volume and individual player targets. Unexpected player performance in previous games, or even news about a player's personal life affecting their focus, could also cause movement. Finally, any late-breaking news regarding quarterback-receiver chemistry or play-calling tendencies could lead to significant shifts in this market.