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Indianapolis vs Jacksonville: Receptions Escalator
kalshi

What is the result of Indianapolis vs Jacksonville?

Volume:
$358

Tyler Warren

 - Kalshi

Tyler Warren - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 4:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tyler Warren

View
2%
5%
Yes 2.3¢No 97.7¢
—
N/A
$74
N/A
N/A
$74
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Jonathan Taylor

View
2%
Yes 2.3¢No 97.7¢
—
N/A
$66
N/A
N/A
$66
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Parker Washington

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$158
N/A
N/A
$158
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Brian Thomas Jr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
$60
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Bhayshul Tuten

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Josh Downs

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
Total markets: 6

Description

This market tracks the number of receptions by specific players in an upcoming football game between Indianapolis and Jacksonville. Participants bet on whether each player's reception count will hit certain thresholds, with payouts increasing as the number of receptions rises. The structure incentivizes accurate prediction of player performance in a key matchup.

Kalshi

Contracts pay out based on the exact number of receptions achieved by designated players during the specified game, using a tiered schedule where payouts increase non-linearly with each additional reception up to a maximum cap. Each Yes contract’s payout is determined by applying a cubic scaling formula to the reception count, capped at 14 receptions or more for full payout, while No contracts receive the remainder of the contract value after Yes payouts are deducted. All payouts are subject to a maximum Yes payout of $1.00 per contract, and the market resolves to Yes when the game occurs as scheduled. The structure ensures that higher reception counts yield proportionally larger returns, with mathematical precision in payout calculations.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from sportsbook odds, which are often set by experts and may be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional offers. While sportsbooks often include a 'vig' or commission, Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. It's common to see this market and sportsbook lines diverge, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into the perceived likelihood of different outcomes, but remember that each represents a different form of forecasting.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price is determined by supply and demand; if more people want to buy a contract, the price goes up, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly. The current price represents the cost to purchase a contract that pays out if the corresponding outcome occurs.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final reception totals for the players involved in the Indianapolis versus Jacksonville game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official NFL statistics and data, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of the results. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the game progresses and the final statistics are released.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key players on both teams are a major catalyst; if a star receiver is ruled out, the market will likely shift. News regarding weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be unfavorable for passing, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected changes in team strategy or coaching decisions, as well as any late-breaking news about player matchups, could all drive movement in this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential opportunities.