TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions achieved by specific players in an upcoming football game between Indianapolis and Jacksonville. The outcome depends on whether designated players meet or exceed predetermined reception thresholds during the full game, including any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based on whether specified players record a minimum number of receptions in the full game, including overtime. Each contract is protected: if a player participates in the first half but not afterward, the contract resolves to the pre-game fair price unless the reception threshold is met, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a decentralized mechanism, meaning prices are determined solely by supply and demand from traders, and are not set by a central authority. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official NFL statistics for receptions will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will reflect the actual number of receptions achieved by the players in the specified game. Traders will be able to see the final results on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game and official data release. The outcome is based on official game statistics, not subjective interpretations.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, particularly to key wide receivers or tight ends, would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence expected passing volume and therefore reception totals. Unexpected starting lineup changes or adjustments to offensive game plans could also move the market. Finally, late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive strategies could lead to traders reassessing their probabilities and adjusting their positions.