TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks receiving performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Indianapolis and Jacksonville. Payouts increase progressively with higher receiving yardage achieved by each designated player, reflecting their statistical contribution during the match.
Contracts pay based on the receiving yards accumulated by designated players in the specified game, using a tiered schedule where each 10-yard increment corresponds to a progressively higher payout. The payout formula calculates a scaled value from official receiving yards, capped at $1.00 for Yes contracts, while No contracts receive the difference from $1.00. Negative yardage results in zero payout for Yes contracts. All markets resolve to Yes following payout determination, with each player's performance evaluated independently under identical scalar market rules.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information, their own analysis, and their expectations of how others will behave. This dynamic process creates a real-time assessment of probabilities, distinct from static odds offered by sportsbooks.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage totals for the players involved are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final yardage totals will be sourced from official NFL data and will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The specific payout amounts are determined by the contract prices at the time of resolution, reflecting the probabilities assigned by traders throughout the market's lifespan. The market will be considered settled once these official results are available.
Several factors could influence this market. Player injuries are a major catalyst, as the absence of key receivers significantly impacts yardage projections. Unexpected changes in team strategy, such as a shift towards a more run-heavy offense, could also move the market. Weather conditions on game day, particularly wind and rain, can affect passing games and therefore receiving yardage. Finally, any news regarding quarterback performance or receiver matchups could lead to shifts in trader sentiment and adjustments in contract prices.