TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 5:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of a specific player in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether he achieves various levels of receiving yardage. The outcome depends entirely on the player's statistical performance during the game, making it a straightforward test of athletic achievement.
All markets share a common set of secondary rules that govern contract resolution based on player participation and game statistics. Each contract is designated as protected, meaning if the player participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the conclusion of the first half (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price prior to the game's kickoff unless the player meets or exceeds the specified receiving yardage threshold. If the player participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics, regardless of first-half involvement. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates remains subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and this event considers full game receiving yards including overtime. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – both prediction markets and sportsbooks will adjust their odds. However, prediction markets often demonstrate greater accuracy in forecasting event outcomes, as they continuously incorporate new information from a diverse range of participants.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yard totals for the relevant players will be used to determine which outcome, if any, satisfies the contract conditions. The resolution will reflect the official data released by the NFL, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the market's result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final statistics following the game’s completion.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, particularly to key receivers or quarterbacks, would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect passing game strategies and, consequently, receiving yard totals. Unexpected coaching decisions or adjustments to offensive schemes could also influence the outcome. Finally, late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive strategies could lead to traders reassessing their predictions and adjusting their positions in this market.