TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on which team will be the first to reach 14 points in an upcoming football game between Indianapolis and Jacksonville. It captures the dynamic early-game momentum by tracking the scoring progression of both teams until one hits the specified threshold.
The market resolves based on which team first scores 14 points in the full game, including any overtime periods. If neither team reaches 14 points by the end of the game, the 'Neither Team' outcome wins. Postponements are handled by allowing the market to remain open if the game starts within 48 hours of its original scheduled time; if the game does not start within this window, the market resolves to a fair price.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially incorporating information and analysis beyond what's typically factored into traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, leading to adjustments based on a broader range of perspectives. It's common to see differences emerge as new information becomes available or public sentiment changes, but both aim to accurately forecast the likelihood of each team reaching 14 points first.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team – Indianapolis or Jacksonville – officially reaches 14 points first during the game. The result will be based on official game statistics and scoring as reported by recognized sports data providers. The resolution will be based on the official game results and will be verified against credible public sources.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Indianapolis or Jacksonville would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in quarterback performance or offensive strategy announcements could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions predicted for the game day might also play a role, potentially favoring one team's style of play over the other. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams' chances could lead to changes in volume and price.