TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates whether both the Indianapolis and Jacksonville teams score specific point thresholds in their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to a different minimum point requirement that both teams must meet for the outcome to be considered successful. The resolution depends purely on the final scoring results of the game.
These markets resolve based on whether both the Indianapolis and Jacksonville teams score at least the specified point thresholds (14+, 21+, 28+, or 35+) in their Pro Football game originally scheduled for November 1, 2026. Points scored in overtime count toward the final tally. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the official final result. If the game does not start within the 48-hour window, the markets will resolve to a fair price. Each market has its own threshold, and resolution is contingent on both teams meeting that specific threshold simultaneously.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe both teams will score, the price will move accordingly, potentially diverging from the initial sportsbook line. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available, though discrepancies can occur.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of the outcome. The price of a contract directly reflects the market's assessment of that probability; a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of both teams scoring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, creating a dynamic price discovery process. The current price represents the collective judgment of all participants, making it a valuable indicator of potential game outcomes.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both the Indianapolis Colts and the Jacksonville Jaguars score at least one point during the game. Official game statistics will be used to determine if both teams have reached the endzone, and the market will settle based on that verified result. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and official results are published.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Key injuries to quarterbacks or prominent offensive players on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions might also move the market. Furthermore, any substantial shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could influence trader behavior and alter the price of contracts in this market.