TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Indianapolis or Jacksonville during the second quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.
These markets resolve based on the point differential between Indianapolis and Jacksonville exclusively during the second quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the specified team must win that quarter by more than the stated point margin. Only points scored in the second quarter count toward determining the outcome. If no game occurs on the scheduled date, or if the game is officially forfeited, all markets will resolve as 'No.' The markets cover a range of margins from over 2.5 points up to over 10.5 points for each team, allowing participants to bet on varying degrees of dominance in that specific quarter.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome of the game. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts predicting a certain spread, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the traders participating, creating a real-time assessment of the likely 2nd quarter spread for the Indianapolis versus Jacksonville game.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread in the second quarter of the Indianapolis versus Jacksonville game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect spread will not. The final result will be publicly available following the game’s completion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Indianapolis or Jacksonville teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift expectations and affect the price of contracts. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators could also contribute to shifts in this market.