TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville: 1st Touchdown
kalshi

What is the result of Indianapolis vs Jacksonville?

Volume:
$137,374

Brian Thomas Jr.

 - Kalshi

Brian Thomas Jr. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 1:33 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Brian Thomas Jr.

View
100%
94%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,474
N/A
N/A
$12,324
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Daniel Jones

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,694
N/A
N/A
$27,281
Settled
No
kalshi

Bhayshul Tuten

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,937
N/A
N/A
$24,120
Settled
No
kalshi

Travis Hunter

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,703
N/A
N/A
$10,702
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyler Warren

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,954
N/A
N/A
$9,830
Settled
No
kalshi

Jonathan Taylor

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,375
N/A
N/A
$7,146
Settled
No
kalshi

Seth McGowan

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,049
N/A
N/A
$7,049
Settled
No
kalshi

Parker Washington

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,084
N/A
N/A
$5,922
Settled
No
kalshi

Laquon Treadwell

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,328
N/A
N/A
$5,328
Settled
No
kalshi

Trevor Lawrence

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,997
N/A
N/A
$3,997
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Rodriguez Jr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,571
N/A
N/A
$3,571
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Downs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,500
N/A
N/A
$3,500
Settled
No
kalshi

Keenan Allen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,392
N/A
N/A
$3,392
Settled
No
kalshi

Mo Alie-Cox

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,712
N/A
N/A
$2,712
Settled
No
kalshi

Jakobi Meyers

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,074
N/A
N/A
$1,878
Settled
No
kalshi

Brenton Strange

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,878
N/A
N/A
$1,878
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Cameron

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,531
N/A
N/A
$1,531
Settled
No
kalshi

IND Colts D/ST

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$652
N/A
N/A
$652
Settled
No
kalshi

JAC Jaguars D/ST

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$643
N/A
N/A
$643
Settled
No
kalshi

No Touchdown

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$529
N/A
N/A
$529
Settled
No
kalshi

Nate Boerkircher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$257
N/A
N/A
$257
Settled
No
kalshi

Ameer Abdullah

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
$40
Settled
No
kalshi

LeQuint Allen Jr.

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Quintin Morris

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Will Mallory

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 26

Description

This market focuses on predicting which team’s defense will score the first touchdown in an upcoming football game. It includes scenarios where either defense scores first or no touchdown is scored at all during the game.

Kalshi

The market determines whether the Indianapolis Colts defense (IND Colts D/ST), the Jacksonville Jaguars defense (JAC Jaguars D/ST), or neither defense scores the first touchdown in the professional football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. If either defense scores the first touchdown, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If no touchdowns are scored by either defense—or if no touchdowns are scored in the game—the No Touchdown market resolves to Yes, and all other player markets resolve to No. Special rules apply if a defense is active but does not take a snap, in which case the market settles to the fair market price before the game starts. Once a defense takes at least one snap, the outcome is determined solely by whether they score the first touchdown. Touchdowns scored by offensive teams on fake punts or field goals do not count toward these markets.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate forecasters of event outcomes, as they benefit from the wisdom of the crowd. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and widely publicized, providing a common benchmark for comparison. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or risk assessments.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders like you set the odds by placing buy and sell orders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective belief of all participants regarding the probability of each outcome. As more traders buy contracts on a particular player, the price for that outcome increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of them scoring first. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price. The market dynamically adjusts to incorporate new information and changing opinions, offering a real-time assessment of probabilities.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by identifying which player or team legally crosses the goal line first to score a touchdown, as officially recorded by game officials. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and play-by-play account. Any scoring plays subject to review will be settled based on the final ruling of the game officials.

Several factors could significantly shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, particularly to key offensive players or the starting quarterback for either team, would likely cause substantial movement. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence expectations about the game plan and scoring opportunities. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also impact trader sentiment. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis, could also move this market.