TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 1:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting which Jacksonville player or unit will score the first touchdown in an upcoming professional football game against Indianapolis. Each market corresponds to a specific player or the defensive unit, with outcomes determined by game events.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified Jacksonville player or unit scores the first touchdown of the game. If the designated player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before kickoff. Once the player takes a snap, resolution depends solely on whether they score the first touchdown. If no Jacksonville touchdowns occur, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all player-specific markets resolve to No. These rules apply uniformly across all player and unit markets, ensuring consistent settlement criteria regardless of which specific participant is referenced.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or breaking news. Analyzing these differences can provide insights into public perception versus professional analysis regarding who will score the first touchdown in this game. Keep in mind that this market’s price reflects what traders are willing to pay, not necessarily a direct prediction of the outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which player scored the first touchdown in the Indianapolis versus Jacksonville game. The official game statistics will be used to verify the outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result on Kalshi once it's confirmed, and any outstanding contracts will be settled accordingly. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in the starting lineup, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. A key player being ruled out would likely alter the probabilities for various outcomes. Game-day reports, coaching decisions, and even pre-game analysis from sports commentators can all influence trading activity. Unexpected developments during the game itself, such as a quick turnover or a long drive, could also cause rapid price movements in this market.