TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville: 1st Indianapolis Touchdown
kalshi

Who scores Indianapolis' first touchdown?

Volume:
$2,552

Josh Downs

 - Kalshi

Josh Downs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 3:20 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Josh Downs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,405
N/A
N/A
$1,403
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jonathan Taylor

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$969
N/A
N/A
$956
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyler Warren

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$116
N/A
N/A
$110
Settled
No
kalshi

Laquon Treadwell

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
$34
Settled
No
kalshi

Seth McGowan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
No
kalshi

No Touchdown

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$7
Settled
No
kalshi

Keenan Allen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
No
kalshi

Daniel Jones

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
kalshi

Mo Alie-Cox

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Deion Burks

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Will Mallory

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

IND Colts D/ST

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting which player or defensive unit will score the first touchdown for Indianapolis in their upcoming game against Jacksonville. Each market corresponds to a specific player or the defensive unit, with outcomes determined by game performance.

Kalshi

These markets determine whether a specified Indianapolis player or the team's defensive unit scores the first touchdown in the game against Jacksonville. Each player-specific market resolves to Yes if that particular player scores the initial touchdown for Indianapolis. If the designated player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once a player takes a snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on whether they score the first touchdown. If no Indianapolis touchdowns are scored during the game, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all individual player markets resolve to No. The defensive unit market follows the same snap and touchdown criteria. All markets are independent, and only one can resolve to Yes, corresponding to the actual scorer of the first Indianapolis touchdown, or the 'No Touchdown' outcome if none occur.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one outcome, this market may show a more nuanced view, incorporating a wider range of potential scenarios and information.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds are constantly adjusting based on real-time supply and demand, offering a unique perspective compared to fixed-odds betting.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which player or play scored the very first touchdown for the Indianapolis Colts in the game against the Jacksonville Jaguars. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data, ensuring an objective and transparent determination of the winning outcome for this market.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key Indianapolis offensive players, particularly the starting quarterback or wide receivers, would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they predict adverse conditions, could also influence the perceived likelihood of different scoring plays. Late-breaking news about defensive matchups or coaching strategies could also move the market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly.