TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various scoring thresholds for the first half of an upcoming football game between two teams. Each threshold represents a different level of combined points that the teams might achieve before halftime. The outcomes depend entirely on the actual game performance during the first half.
These markets assess whether the combined score of Indianapolis and Jacksonville in the first half of their Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, exceeds specified thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 42.5 points. Each market has a unique threshold, and the outcome for each is determined solely by the total points scored by both teams during the first half of play. If the combined score surpasses the threshold defined in a specific market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Only points scored in the first half count toward these markets, and the markets are not affiliated with or endorsed by the governing league, with all trademarks remaining the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own modeling and risk management, aiming to balance action on both sides of a bet. This market, however, allows anyone to express their belief about the likely outcome, potentially leading to odds that incorporate information not fully captured by traditional bookmakers. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Colts-Jaguars game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the first half total will be over or under the specified line. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand – if more people believe the total will be over, the price of 'over' contracts will rise, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market price reflects the aggregated probability assessment of all participants, providing a real-time view of expectations for the Colts-Jaguars first half total.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first half total points scored in the Indianapolis Colts versus Jacksonville Jaguars game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics reported by a trusted sports data source. The market will determine whether the total points scored in the first half were above or below the threshold established at the time of trading, and contracts will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Colts or the Jaguars would likely have a significant impact, as this would alter expectations about scoring potential. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions unfavorable for passing or running, could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment and affect the price of contracts in this market.