TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in the first half of an upcoming football game. Participants can speculate on whether a team will exceed various point thresholds, offering a granular view of expected offensive performance.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified team scores more than a designated point threshold in the first half of the game scheduled for November 1, 2026. Markets exist for both teams (Indianapolis and Jacksonville) at multiple point thresholds ranging from 2.5 to 30.5 points. If the team's actual first-half score exceeds the threshold, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others. The secondary rules clarify that the platform is unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the teams.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Jaguars-Colts first half total points. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates, reflecting the collective assessment of the market participants. The higher the price, the more confident traders are in that outcome. The current price reflects the aggregated expectations of all traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of each team in the first half of the Indianapolis Colts versus Jacksonville Jaguars game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The market will settle based on the official statistics reported by the league, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct first-half team totals will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Jaguars or the Colts would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also impact the expected scoring. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy revealed before the game could also move the market. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants on Kalshi could signal shifts in sentiment and drive price changes.