TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:09 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the combined outcomes of both the first half and the full game result in a specific football match. Each market has unique conditions that require specific performances in both segments of the game to be met.
The markets resolve based on the combined results of the first half and the full game (including overtime) of the Indianapolis vs Jacksonville Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. For a market to resolve to Yes, both the specified first half result and the specified full game result must occur exactly as described. If either the first half or full game result does not match the market's conditions, the market resolves to No. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original schedule, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the markets resolve to a fair price. Each market has unique conditions for what constitutes a Yes outcome, depending on whether Jacksonville or Indianapolis wins or ties in either the first half or the full game.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and internal analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes move faster to incorporate breaking news, such as an injury announcement, while this market may take longer to adjust. It’s common to see differences, especially early in the market's life, but they often converge as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Indianapolis versus Jacksonville NFL game, specifically the first half and full-time results. The outcome will be determined by the official game statistics and final score as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances after the resolution process is complete.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Indianapolis or Jacksonville teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the game’s outcome and, therefore, the market. Major coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis, could also affect trading activity in this market.