TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Jacksonville or Indianapolis will win their professional football game scheduled for November 1st, 2026. Currently, the probability of Jacksonville winning on Kalshi is 99.0%, while Indianapolis winning is at 1.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Indianapolis vs Jacksonville Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, as determined by the official game result. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if Indianapolis wins the game scheduled for November 1st, 2026.
The market resolves based on the official winner of the professional football game between the two teams scheduled for November 1, 2026. If one team wins outright, that market resolves to Yes; a tie results in a $0.50 settlement for each team market. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open to resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. These rules apply uniformly to both team-specific markets, ensuring consistent resolution criteria across all possible scenarios.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams’ strengths and weaknesses. If there's a significant difference, it might suggest that prediction market participants believe the sportsbook odds are mispriced, or vice versa, creating potential arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Indianapolis vs Jacksonville game, as officially recorded by the NFL. This includes accounting for any potential overtime periods or adjustments made by the league. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome aligned with the verified result. The final score will be the determining factor for settlement.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to game day. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Indianapolis or Jacksonville would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy revealed during the week could also play a role. Finally, large-volume trades from informed participants could signal a change in sentiment and drive price fluctuations in this market.