TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 3:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many touchdowns are scored by players catching passes during an upcoming college football game. The outcomes depend on whether specific teams reach certain thresholds of such scores throughout the match, including any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based on the official number of receiving touchdowns scored by each team during the Indiana vs Nebraska college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026, including any overtime periods. A receiving touchdown is defined as a touchdown scored by a player who catches a forward pass from their teammate. Touchdowns scored by another player after recovering a fumble by the intended receiver do not count, unless the receiver recovers their own fumble and scores. Successful two-point conversions, regardless of when they occur, do not count toward any market outcome. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market incorporates insights from many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. However, both aim to accurately forecast the probability of an event, and it's useful to compare them when forming your own assessment of the game's likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether teams will score touchdowns. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changes in expectations leading up to the game.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether each team successfully scores at least one touchdown during the Indiana vs Nebraska game. Official game statistics and play-by-play data will serve as the basis for determining which contracts will pay out. The final score and official game records will be used to verify the outcome and settle the market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Indiana or Nebraska teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also shift expectations about scoring potential. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could influence trader behavior. Finally, public perception and betting trends in traditional sportsbooks may also contribute to movements in this market as the game approaches.