TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:30 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how many points each team will score in an upcoming college football game. They allow participants to speculate on whether a team will exceed specific point thresholds, reflecting expectations about offensive performance and game dynamics.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals for Michigan and Indiana in their college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the named team scores more points than the stated threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still applies. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of when or if the game is played.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can emerge due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply the collective intelligence of prediction market traders. If significant differences exist, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, where traders can profit by capitalizing on the price differences between this market and traditional sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of contracts available at various price points, also provides insights into the strength of conviction behind different predictions. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the team totals and capitalizing on price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both Indiana and Michigan will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on whether the actual team totals fall above or below the thresholds defined by the available contracts. Traders who correctly predicted the team totals will receive a payout based on the contract's price at resolution. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Oct 24, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either Indiana or Michigan would likely cause significant price adjustments. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's style of play, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected news regarding team morale or coaching strategies could also shift market sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking information about player availability or tactical adjustments could lead to substantial movements in the Indiana vs Michigan team totals market.