TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:39 PM EST
Kalshi
The markets track the potential performance of both teams in a college football game by measuring how many yards they gain through receptions. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of receiving yards that a team must surpass for the market to settle positively. The outcomes reflect whether the team's offensive strategy leans heavily on passing plays during the match.
All markets resolve based on the official receiving yardage tallies for either Indiana or Michigan in the college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. Receiving yards from both regulation time and the first two overtime periods are counted, while successful two-point conversions—whether in regulation or overtime—are excluded. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all open markets will resolve using the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will settle at a fair price, determined independently for each market. These rules apply uniformly across all thresholds specified for each team.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available. Analyzing these differences can provide insights into public sentiment and potential value opportunities. Keep in mind that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yard totals, and the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts anticipating a higher total, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market price reflects the collective belief of all participants regarding the likely total receiving yards in the Indiana vs Michigan game. The current price indicates the probability assigned to each possible outcome by the market as a whole.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yard total for Indiana and Michigan, as officially recorded by the NCAA, will determine the outcome. The market will settle to the nearest whole yard. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct receiving yard range will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect ranges will not. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final game statistics to understand the resolution.
Several factors could influence this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would be significant, as they directly impact potential receiving yardage. Weather conditions on game day, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect passing game strategies and therefore total receiving yards. Unexpected coaching decisions regarding play-calling or personnel could also shift the market. Finally, any news regarding team morale or internal conflicts might influence trader sentiment and impact the price of contracts in this market.