TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 12:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points are scored in the first quarter of a college football game between Indiana and Michigan. Each market has a different threshold for the total points scored, allowing participants to speculate on the range of scoring in that specific quarter.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first quarter of the Indiana vs Michigan college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., Over 2.5 points, Over 5.5 points, etc.), and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined score exceeds that threshold. Only points scored during the first quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the threshold selected.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the Indiana vs Michigan 1st quarter. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to incorporate new information and perspectives, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price represents the market's expectation for the total points scored in the first quarter.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official score of the first quarter of the Indiana vs Michigan game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract and trigger the payout to those who correctly predicted the total points scored. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available data, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Indiana or Michigan would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also move the market. Public perception, driven by expert analysis or social media sentiment, can also play a role. Finally, any late-breaking information about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift the market's expectations regarding the total points scored in the Indiana vs Michigan 1st quarter.