TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Indiana State vs. South Dakota
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Indiana State vs. South Dakota?

Volume:
$137,958

South Dakota

 - Kalshi

South Dakota - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 6:15 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

South Dakota

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$57,874
N/A
N/A
$29,936
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Indiana St.

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$76,724
N/A
N/A
$62,797
Settled
No
polymarket

Indiana State vs. South Dakota

0%
10%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,346
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -14.5

0%
99%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -10.5

0%
100%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -7.5

0%
99%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -5.5

0%
13%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -3.5

0%
14%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

0%
8%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 49.5

100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 51.5

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 53.5

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 55.5

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 57.5

100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 59.5

0%
52%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 61.5

0%
47%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2H Moneyline

50%
Yes 51¢No 51¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
polymarket

1H Moneyline

0%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 24

Description

This group covers markets related to the college football game between Indiana State and South Dakota scheduled for October 3rd. Markets include predicting the winner, point spreads, and the over/under total points scored.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Significant divergence in market types and resolution criteria. Kalshi focuses on a simple win/loss outcome, while Polymarket offers a wide range of spread and over/under markets.Hero tip: Be mindful of the different market types. Kalshi focuses on the outright winner, while Polymarket allows for more granular predictions based on the margin of victory or total points scored. Trading strategies should be tailored to the specific market being analyzed.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Offers a simple binary market resolving to 'Yes' if either team wins the game. This is a flawed market design as both outcomes resolve to 'Yes'.
  • Polymarket: Offers multiple markets including spreads and over/under, resolving based on point differentials and total points scored. Example: 'Indiana State (-14.5) resolves to Indiana State if they win by 15 or more points.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Indiana State and South Dakota, scheduled for October 3 at 3:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Indiana State" if Indiana State win the game. This market will resolve to "South Dakota" if South Dakota win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

If South Dakota wins the Indiana St. vs South Dakota college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Indiana St. wins the Indiana St. vs South Dakota college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets are driven by actual traders buying and selling contracts based on their beliefs. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a more accurate probability of an event occurring, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of wagers not available here, and liquidity can vary significantly between the two.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structure, which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, the specific markets offered on each platform may not be identical; for example, one might focus on the point spread while the other focuses on the outright winner. Differences in perceived information and risk tolerance among traders on each platform also contribute to these price discrepancies. The current volume on each platform also plays a role in price stability.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before its resolution. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Public perception of team performance, based on recent games or analysis, can also play a role. Major betting activity on either Polymarket or Kalshi could also cause price movements, as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings. Overall game momentum and key player matchups are also likely to be considered.