TOTAL VOLUME:

$139.4b

24H VOL:

$149,134,522

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,540,891,627

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,613,330,048

474,211

Markets across

36,680

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,917

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Indiana State vs. Purdue
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Indiana State vs. Purdue?

Volume:
$9,682,117

Purdue

 - Kalshi

Purdue - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 10:14 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Purdue

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$805,001
N/A
N/A
$514,650
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -17.5

100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,228
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -21.5

100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,189
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 36.5

100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
18.9¢
N/A
$2,042
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -24.5

100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$618
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 48.5

100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
18.9¢
N/A
$611
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 55.5

100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1.8¢
N/A
$228
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 56.5

100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$210
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 58.5

100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$132
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 60.5

100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$57
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 54.5

100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
2.8¢
N/A
$52
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Indiana St.

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,802,292
N/A
N/A
$6,793,147
Settled
No
polymarket

Indiana State vs. Purdue

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60,821
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread: Purdue (-35.5)

0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,741
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -20.5

0%
65%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,546
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -34.5

0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$866
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -27.5

0%
72%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$175
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 72.5

0%
61%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$118
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -23.5

0%
57%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$77
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -21.5

0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 66.5

0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -0.5

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 114

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the Indiana State versus Purdue college football game, specifically whether Purdue will cover the -4.5 point spread. Currently, the consensus probability of Purdue covering is 100.0%. This prediction is an aggregation of markets from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will resolve based on the result of the Indiana St. vs Purdue college football game originally scheduled for Sep 4, 2026. Traders should watch the game itself on September 4, 2026, to see if Purdue achieves a victory by more than 4.5 points.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Settlement Value Mismatch / SKU RiskHero tip: Traders should be cautious due to significant differences in resolution logic between platforms. Verify which market you are trading on and understand the specific resolution criteria for each.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either team wins the game. Key Quote: If Purdue wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Indiana St. wins... then the market resolves to Yes.
  • Polymarket: Resolves to specific outcomes based on the winner, point spread, or total score. Key Quote: If Indiana State wins, the market will resolve to Indiana State. If Purdue wins, the market will resolve to Purdue. For the spread market, resolves to Purdue if they win by 36 or more points, otherwise Indiana State. For the Over/Under market, resolves to Over if combined score is 57 or more, otherwise Under.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 4 at 7:00PM ET: If Indiana State wins, the market will resolve to "Indiana State". If Purdue wins, the market will resolve to "Purdue". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the Indiana St. vs Purdue college football game scheduled for September 4, 2026. If either team secures a victory, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these conditions.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Indiana State vs. Purdue matchup market aggregates data across multiple venues, showing real-time probabilities, volume of $9,682,117, and 24-hour volume of $9,470,921. It provides a consensus view of how traders on different platforms price this market, highlighting any notable shifts in sentiment as the event approaches.

Prediction market odds often reflect sharper, more granular insights than traditional sportsbook lines, especially for niche matchups like this one. While sportsbooks may post a standard spread or moneyline, prediction markets such as this one can incorporate real-time news, injury updates, and betting patterns, potentially offering tighter or more volatile pricing.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, pricing mechanisms, user bases, and liquidity conditions vary, leading to differences. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform might have deeper liquidity around a specific outcome, or its user demographic could react more strongly to recent team performance news, pushing its odds away from the other venue.