TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 6:10 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the margin of victory for Illinois State in their college football game against Indiana State. Each market corresponds to a different point spread threshold, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively Illinois State might win. The outcomes depend solely on the final score difference between the two teams.
All markets resolve based on the point differential from the Indiana St. vs Illinois St. college football game scheduled for Oct 24, 2026. For markets where Illinois St. must win by a specified margin, resolution occurs if the actual margin exceeds that threshold. Conversely, a market where Indiana St. must win by over 3.5 points resolves positively only if Indiana St. achieves such a margin. Postponements are handled such that if the game commences within 48 hours of its original time, it remains active for resolution per the actual result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's ultimate status.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Indiana State vs Illinois State spread. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit from correctly anticipating the event’s outcome. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or accept for a contract that pays out if the spread falls within a certain range.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Indiana State vs Illinois State game. The market will settle based on whether Illinois State wins by over 4.5 points, or if Indiana State covers the spread. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Indiana State or Illinois State teams would likely cause movement. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected weather conditions could also impact the perceived probabilities. Public sentiment, reflected in betting patterns and media coverage, will also play a role. Furthermore, any significant shifts in the overall college basketball landscape or perceptions of team performance could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.