TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 1:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a women's One Day International cricket match between India and Zimbabwe, scheduled for October 25, 2026. The resolution depends solely on which team officially wins the match. Any scenario where no winner is declared results in a split resolution.
The event resolves based on the official winner of the India vs. Zimbabwe women's One Day International cricket match scheduled for October 25, 2026. If India wins, the India market resolves to Yes, and the Zimbabwe market resolves to No. Conversely, if Zimbabwe wins, the Zimbabwe market resolves to Yes, and the India market resolves to No. In cases where the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, cancellation, or insufficient play to determine a winner, both markets resolve to $0.50. Forfeits, disqualifications, or concessions before the match begins also lead to a $0.50 resolution for both markets. However, if such an event occurs after play has started and the governing body declares an official winner, the markets will resolve based on that declared result. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments. Over time, prediction market prices can become more accurate than traditional odds as more information becomes available and more traders participate. However, sportsbook odds may react more quickly to breaking news or late-developing information, while this market's price discovery is driven by trading volume.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on their own analysis and the actions of others, leading to dynamic price discovery.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the India vs Zimbabwe match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and settle all outstanding contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, weather conditions, or changes in team strategy could cause price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements about player availability or changes in the match schedule would also likely move the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi could influence prices, especially if they indicate a shift in market sentiment. Monitoring sports news and analysis related to the India vs Zimbabwe match is crucial for understanding potential catalysts.