TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 1:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether India will win its upcoming T20 cricket match against Zimbabwe. Currently, the probability of India winning on Kalshi is 99.0%, while Zimbabwe winning is at 2.0%. The market will resolve based on the official result of the India vs Zimbabwe women's professional Zimbabwe Women Tour of India T20s cricket match, as determined by the governing body. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for October 16, 2026, as the outcome of that fixture will determine resolution.
The event resolves based on the official winner of the India vs Zimbabwe women's professional T20 cricket match scheduled for October 16, 2026. If India wins, the India market resolves to Yes; if Zimbabwe wins, the Zimbabwe market resolves to Yes. In cases of a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, cancellation, or insufficient play to determine a winner, both markets resolve to $0.50. Forfeits, disqualifications, or concessions before the match begins also result in $0.50 for both markets. If these occur after play has started and the governing body declares a winner, the market corresponding to the declared winner resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines to balance action and ensure a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by participants’ beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when significant information emerges or public opinion shifts. Comparing the two can provide a broader perspective on the potential result of the India vs Zimbabwe match, though this market represents a distinct forecast.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a margin system, requiring traders to deposit collateral to cover potential losses, and adjusts margin requirements based on market volatility and risk.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the India vs Zimbabwe match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the match. The platform will verify the outcome against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 16, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, weather conditions impacting the match, or significant shifts in public sentiment could all cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements related to the teams’ strategies or performance could also trigger trading activity. Major upsets in other related matches or tournaments might also indirectly impact the market, as traders reassess their overall expectations for the teams involved.