TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 12:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether more than 4.5 goals will be scored in the India versus Uruguay international friendly soccer match. Currently, the probability of over 4.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by the total goals scored in 90 minutes plus stoppage time of the India vs Uruguay professional Intl Friendlies game, as reported by the official match data. Keep an eye on the teams’ performance leading up to the match on October 6, 2026, as that date represents the end of the betting period and the conclusion of the game itself, which will determine the market’s outcome.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both teams in the India vs Uruguay professional Intl Friendlies soccer game scheduled for October 6, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from goal counts. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the total goals exceed the specified threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals freely trading contracts, theoretically leading to a more accurate assessment of probabilities as more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk appetites, and the incentive structures of each venue. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly. Essentially, the market price is determined by the forces of supply and demand – if more people believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of the corresponding contract will increase, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of total goals scored in the India vs Uruguay match will determine the winning contract. Resolution will be based on the official result as reported by the governing football organization. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding losing contracts will receive nothing. The market will close prior to the match's completion to prevent manipulation.
Several factors could influence the India vs Uruguay goals market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable or unfavorable for high-scoring games, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected lineup announcements or tactical shifts revealed before the match could also shift probabilities. Furthermore, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or fan polls, might influence traders' behavior and move the market prices.