TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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India vs Uruguay: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of India vs Uruguay?

Volume:
$212,824

Uruguay wins by more than 2.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Uruguay wins by more than 2.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 12:32 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Uruguay wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$69,316
N/A
N/A
$35,005
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Uruguay wins by more than 4.5 goals

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$48,161
N/A
N/A
$17,707
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Uruguay wins by more than 3.5 goals

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$44,208
N/A
N/A
$17,527
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Uruguay wins by more than 1.5 goals

100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21,705
N/A
N/A
$8,441
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Uruguay wins by more than 5.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,194
N/A
N/A
$13,377
Settled
No
kalshi

India wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,540
N/A
N/A
$2,417
Settled
No
kalshi

India wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$684
N/A
N/A
$684
Settled
No
kalshi

Uruguay wins by more than 6.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
$16
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

Betting interest will focus on the margin of victory should either India or Uruguay win the match. The markets will determine whether the winning team achieves a decisive advantage over their opponent within the standard match duration.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the goal differential if India or Uruguay wins the professional Intl Friendlies soccer game scheduled for October 6, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for the India markets occurs if India wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals. Conversely, a 'Yes' for the Uruguay markets occurs if Uruguay wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. The markets are unaffiliated with any governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the India vs Uruguay match tracks the current price of contracts representing different outcomes in this market. You'll find a price history chart showing how the price has fluctuated over time, along with the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $185,521. The total volume traded on this market is $212,824. This allows you to see how much activity there is and how traders are positioning themselves ahead of the event. The dashboard provides a real-time view of market sentiment.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides, while this market’s price is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders could potentially profit by buying on one venue and selling on the other. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the India vs Uruguay match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract that pays out if the predicted outcome happens.

This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the India vs Uruguay match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The final price of the contracts will reflect the actual outcome, and those holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout based on the contract's value at resolution. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the market’s settlement.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 6, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, might also impact the price. Furthermore, major developments in the broader sporting landscape, or even geopolitical events, could introduce uncertainty and volatility. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements in this market.