TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 2:33 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group concerns the halftime result of a soccer match between India and Uruguay. Markets exist to predict whether India, Uruguay, or a draw will be the leading score at the end of the first half (45 minutes plus stoppage time).
In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between India and Uruguay, scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between India and Uruguay, scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from imbalances in betting. Prediction markets, however, allow anyone to participate and express their beliefs, leading to odds that can be more accurate, especially as the event approaches. The difference can stem from varying information access and incentives between the two types of markets. It’s valuable to compare both when assessing the potential outcome.
Differences in prices between Polymarket and Predict for this market can stem from several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and risk tolerance, influencing their trading decisions. Furthermore, the liquidity and trading volume on each platform can fluctuate independently, impacting price discovery. While Polymarket currently shows a strong preference for India leading at halftime, Predict may reflect a more diverse range of opinions or have different market participants driving the price. These factors contribute to the dynamic pricing observed across prediction markets.