TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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India vs. Uruguay - First Team to Score
predict
polymarket

What is the result of India vs. Uruguay?

Volume:
$452

IND

all

2 markets

Predict

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 12:00 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

IND

View
95%
Yes 95¢No 5¢
—
N/A
$218
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

India

0%
66%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

URY

49%
44%
Yes 96¢No 99¢
—
N/A
$220
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Uruguay

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Neither

0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Neither

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between India and Uruguay. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. If neither team scores, the market resolves to 'Neither'.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict use identical resolution criteria regarding the timeframe (90 minutes + stoppage time), the definition of 'first to score', and the fallback data sources.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with fallback to Flashscore, then Sofascore, then consensus reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • The first team to score during the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time determines the outcome.
  • If neither team scores within the specified timeframe, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
  • Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are explicitly excluded.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed.
  • Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore is used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore is used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting is used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market resolves 50-50 (or 'Draw' where applicable).
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the conclusion of the match, or as soon as official or fallback data sources provide a definitive answer.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between India and Uruguay, scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "India" if India are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Uruguay" if Uruguay are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Predict

In the upcoming match between India and Uruguay, scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "India" if India are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Uruguay" if Uruguay are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the probability of either India or Uruguay scoring the first goal in their upcoming match. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a strong expectation for India to score first, with a combined volume of $452. This reflects the aggregated predictions of users on both venues, providing a comprehensive overview of sentiment surrounding the India vs. Uruguay first-to-score market. The dashboard allows you to compare odds and volume across both platforms, giving a holistic view of the market's dynamics and potential outcomes.

Prediction market odds, such as those found for this market, often reflect a more nuanced and aggregated perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins. Prediction markets, conversely, are driven by the collective intelligence of many traders, incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to differences in probabilities, especially as new information emerges. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on pre-match analysis, this market can dynamically adjust based on real-time sentiment and information flow.

Several signals could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team lineups, player injuries, or changes in coaching strategies could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or pitch reports might also impact perceived probabilities. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment, reflected in trading volume, can drive price movements. Major upsets in related matches or broader tournament dynamics could also indirectly influence traders' assessments. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market’s price as the event draws closer.