TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 12:00 PM EST
Predict
This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between India and Uruguay. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. If neither team scores, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
In the upcoming match between India and Uruguay, scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "India" if India are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Uruguay" if Uruguay are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between India and Uruguay, scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "India" if India are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Uruguay" if Uruguay are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, such as those found for this market, often reflect a more nuanced and aggregated perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins. Prediction markets, conversely, are driven by the collective intelligence of many traders, incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to differences in probabilities, especially as new information emerges. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on pre-match analysis, this market can dynamically adjust based on real-time sentiment and information flow.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team lineups, player injuries, or changes in coaching strategies could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or pitch reports might also impact perceived probabilities. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment, reflected in trading volume, can drive price movements. Major upsets in related matches or broader tournament dynamics could also indirectly influence traders' assessments. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market’s price as the event draws closer.