TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 10:39 AM EST
Kalshi
The match features two national teams competing in an international friendly, where both aim to score during regular time including any added minutes at the end of each half. The focus is on the teams' performance within the standard match duration, excluding any extended play beyond the 90 minutes. This encounter provides an opportunity to assess each team's offensive capabilities under competitive yet non-qualifying conditions.
If India and Uruguay both score a goal in the India vs Uruguay Intl Friendlies match originally scheduled for Oct 6, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, but may adjust less rapidly to new information. This market, like others on Kalshi, allows traders to incorporate a wider range of factors, potentially leading to odds that diverge from those found at sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges closer to the event. It’s common to see discrepancies, and analyzing these differences can be insightful.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of both teams scoring in the India vs Uruguay match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in 'BTTS', and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the India vs Uruguay match is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both teams score at least one goal during the match. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine whether the 'BTTS' outcome is considered true or false, and contracts will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the definitive match result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 6, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Indian or Uruguayan national teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts for the match location could also play a role, as weather conditions can affect scoring rates. Furthermore, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches revealed by team management could shift market sentiment and move the price of this market.