TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
India vs. Uruguay
kalshi
predict
polymarket

What is the result of India vs. Uruguay?

Volume:
$3,121,426

Uruguay

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 12:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Uruguay

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$454,775
N/A
N/A
$242,289
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Uruguay

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$148,061
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

URY

View
99%
3%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$17,857
$24,190
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

IND

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$194
$29,527
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

India

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,554,161
N/A
N/A
$820,357
Settled
No
polymarket

India

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$187,083
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
1%
3%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$149
$8,542
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$680,869
N/A
N/A
$300,834
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (India vs. Uruguay)

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,218
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between India and Uruguay scheduled for October 6, 2026. Markets exist for India winning, Uruguay winning, and the game ending in a draw. All platforms specify resolution based on the official result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms consistently define resolution based on the official match result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with a clear fallback resolution process.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (FIFA).

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is determined by the outcome of the match within the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion.
  • If the game is canceled, win markets resolve to 'No' and draw markets resolve to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, data from Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, or within 24 hours of the event's conclusion if fallback data sources are required.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 6, 2026 between India and Uruguay.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the India vs Uruguay professional international friendly soccer match scheduled for October 6, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for the India market occurs if India wins the match within regulation time. Similarly, a 'Yes' outcome for the Uruguay market occurs if Uruguay wins within regulation time. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the match concludes with an equal score after regulation time. If the match ends in a tie, only the Tie market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The markets exclusively consider the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and do not account for outcomes determined during extra time or penalty shootouts.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 6, 2026 between India and Uruguay.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the different incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets allow participants to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when there's a lot of inside information or disagreement among experts. However, sportsbooks often have lower transaction costs and wider availability. For this market, it’s important to compare the implied probabilities from both sources to identify potential value.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading incentives, and liquidity levels, all of which can influence how probabilities are assessed. Furthermore, the specific market structures on each platform—such as trading fees or maximum bet sizes—may contribute to price discrepancies. While both platforms address the same question regarding the India vs. Uruguay match, the differing dynamics can lead to variations in the perceived probabilities reflected in the market prices.