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$154.3b

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$228,458,490

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$1,879,276,037

410,833

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4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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India vs Brazil: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of India vs Brazil?

Volume:
$158,941

Brazil wins by more than 2.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Brazil wins by more than 2.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 12:01 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Brazil wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$54,368
N/A
N/A
$18,880
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Brazil wins by more than 3.5 goals

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$52,802
N/A
N/A
$23,603
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Brazil wins by more than 1.5 goals

100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$31,876
N/A
N/A
$12,553
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Brazil wins by more than 4.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,365
N/A
N/A
$8,989
Settled
No
kalshi

India wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,744
N/A
N/A
$2,744
Settled
No
kalshi

Brazil wins by more than 5.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,386
N/A
N/A
$848
Settled
No
kalshi

India wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$400
N/A
N/A
$392
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks the outcome of an international friendly soccer match between India and Brazil, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. It reflects how decisively one team outperforms the other within regular time.

Kalshi

The event evaluates various winning margins in the India vs. Brazil professional international friendly soccer match scheduled for October 3, 2026. Resolution is based exclusively on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. Four distinct outcome thresholds are defined: India winning by more than 2.5 goals, India winning by more than 1.5 goals, Brazil winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Brazil winning by more than 2.5 goals. Any market resolving to 'Yes' occurs only if the specified team achieves the corresponding goal-differential victory within the standard match duration. The governing body’s official result, as recognized by authoritative sports databases or league announcements, will determine all resolutions. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any formal affiliation with the governing league or ownership of associated trademarks, logos, or brand names.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the India vs Brazil match tracks the current price of the spread, reflecting what traders are willing to pay to bet on either team covering. You'll also find a price history chart illustrating how the market has moved over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $151,764. Total volume for this market is $158,941. This allows you to gauge market interest and potential shifts in sentiment surrounding the game.

Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, being driven by actual traders, tends to reflect a more collective assessment of probabilities, potentially offering more favorable odds, especially for less conventional outcomes. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups – bettors in one case, and oddsmakers in the other.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different sides of the spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe India will cover the spread, the price of contracts on that outcome will increase, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time.

This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the India vs Brazil match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official spread at the conclusion of the game, as determined by official sports sources. The platform will then verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out, and at what value.

Several factors could influence this market before Oct 3, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either India or Brazil would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the coaches, or even weather forecasts for the match location could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to the overall tournament or the competitive landscape could also shift the probabilities reflected in this market, causing price fluctuations.