TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 12:05 PM EST
Kalshi
In the international friendly match between India and Brazil scheduled for October 3, 2026, this event tracks whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during regular time.
If India and Brazil both score a goal in the India vs Brazil Intl Friendlies match originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the likelihood of both teams scoring. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook underestimates the chance of a BTTS outcome, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly, potentially offering a better value than traditional sports betting options. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a substantial amount of volume is traded.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the India vs Brazil match. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand – if more people want to buy (bet on) BTTS, the price goes up, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders participating in this market, making it a dynamic indicator of expectations. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both the India and Brazil national teams score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams have scored, and that information will be used to settle all outstanding contracts on Kalshi. The final result will be publicly available following the completion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Indian or Brazilian national teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the starting lineups or pre-match analysis from reputable football experts could also move the market. Increased media coverage or public attention focused on the potential for a high-scoring game could also drive trading activity on Kalshi.