TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Independiente Santa Fe vs. Alianza FC
Volume:
$68,123
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer match between Independiente Santa Fe and Alianza FC scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi predict the match outcome (win/loss/draw) within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
The Polymarket draw market explicitly resolves to Yes on full cancellation with no make-up game, while Kalshi's three-outcome structure does not address cancellation scenarios, creating potential settlement ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Polymarket draw market holders have explicit protection: cancellation = Yes. Kalshi traders should assume cancellation handling is undefined and may require dispute resolution. Prioritize Polymarket draw positions if cancellation risk is material.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Santa Fe Win / Draw / Alianza Win). Draw market uniquely resolves Yes on full cancellation with no make-up game. All markets reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Primary source is official DIMAYOR statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus if delayed. Postponement keeps markets open until completion.
- Kalshi: Three binary outcomes presented as separate markets (Alianza Win / Santa Fe Win / Tie), each resolving Yes if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time in the Liga DIMAYOR match. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Implicitly assumes the match will be completed or rescheduled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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