TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 10:32 PM EST
Kalshi
Two Colombian soccer teams, Independiente Santa Fe and Jaguares, will compete in a Liga DIMAYOR match. The outcome depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
The market resolves based on the result of the Independiente Santa Fe vs Jaguares professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer game scheduled for October 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Independiente Santa Fe wins, the "Independiente Santa Fe" market resolves to Yes. If Jaguares wins, the "Jaguares" market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the "Tie" market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the rules.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, risk assessments, or simply variations in opinion. If you observe a significant difference between the odds on Kalshi and those offered by sportsbooks, it could indicate an opportunity for value betting or a disagreement about the likely outcome of the Santa Fe vs Jaguares match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Santa Fe vs Jaguares match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the aggregated beliefs of the crowd. The closer we get to the event, the more volatile the prices may become as new information emerges and traders refine their predictions. The market’s depth and liquidity are also visible on the dashboard.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Independ. Santa Fe vs Jaguares match as reported by a recognized sports authority. Any potential postponements or cancellations will be factored into the resolution process, ensuring a fair and accurate determination of the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations once the resolution is finalized on Kalshi.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the Oct 15, 2026 resolution date. News regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Independ. Santa Fe or Jaguares would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions or even controversial referee assignments could also impact trader sentiment. Major upsets in other related matches, or even broader trends in soccer performance, might indirectly affect the market. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact is key to understanding how this market may evolve.