TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 11:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Independ. Santa Fe and Bucaramanga in Colombia's Liga DIMAYOR league. The result hinges solely on the final score after the standard 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Bets are settled based on whether one team secures a win or if the match concludes in a draw within the regular timeframe.
The event involves determining the winner of a Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer match scheduled for October 26, 2026, between Independ. Santa Fe and Bucaramanga. The market resolves based on the result after the full 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty shootout outcomes. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Independ. Santa Fe win, Bucaramanga win, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price. The resolution strictly considers the result within regular time, with no consideration for post-match proceedings such as extra time or penalties. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s probabilities are driven by actual money being wagered. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These differences can arise from varying levels of information or differing interpretations of the same information, and can be a useful signal for informed bettors.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The winning team, or a confirmed draw, will determine the winning contract in this market. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could significantly shift the probabilities. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions could also impact trading volume and price movements. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could lead to increased buying or selling pressure on specific outcomes. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 27, 2026.