TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

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2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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63%

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IND Colts vs WAS Commanders: 4th Quarter Winner
kalshi

What is the result of IND Colts vs WAS Commanders?

Volume:
$15,723

Indianapolis

 - Kalshi

Indianapolis - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 12:45 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Indianapolis

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,573
N/A
N/A
$7,526
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Washington

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,346
N/A
N/A
$2,949
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,804
N/A
N/A
$2,250
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the final quarter of an upcoming NFL matchup. It specifically evaluates performance during the last quarter of regulation time, excluding any overtime periods. The outcome depends entirely on which team demonstrates stronger offensive capabilities in that critical segment of the game.

Kalshi

The market determines the winner of the fourth quarter in the IND Colts vs WAS Commanders game scheduled for October 4, 2026, excluding overtime. Each team’s market resolves to Yes if they score the most points in that quarter. If both teams score an equal number of points, all team markets resolve to No, and the Tie market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the fourth quarter of regulation play are considered; overtime points are excluded from evaluation. The resolution hinges solely on comparative fourth-quarter scoring performance, with a tie resulting in a No for team outcomes and a Yes for the Tie outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Colts-Commanders 4th quarter market provides a real-time view of how traders are pricing the probability of each team winning the final quarter. You’ll find the current odds, a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $15,461. The total volume traded on the Colts-Commanders 4th quarter market is $15,723. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and track changes in expectations as new information becomes available.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, particularly as new information arises or public sentiment shifts. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders to identify mispricings and potentially gain an edge.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to reflect the evolving beliefs of participants, creating a real-time assessment of the potential 4th quarter winner.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team leading at the end of the 4th quarter of the Colts-Commanders game will be declared the winner. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and results, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future markets.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Colts or Commanders would likely cause a shift in the odds. In-game performance during the first three quarters, such as a dominant offensive showing or a surprising defensive strategy, will also heavily influence trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions or referee calls could also introduce volatility. Finally, significant public betting patterns or analysis from sports commentators could sway market sentiment and move the price of contracts.