TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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IND Colts vs WAS Commanders: 3rd Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of IND Colts vs WAS Commanders?

Volume:
$141,731

IND Colts wins by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

IND Colts wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 12:19 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

IND Colts wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$59,421
N/A
N/A
$28,723
Settled
Yes
kalshi

IND Colts wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,147
N/A
N/A
$15,364
Settled
No
kalshi

IND Colts wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,942
N/A
N/A
$14,593
Settled
No
kalshi

IND Colts wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,871
N/A
N/A
$6,011
Settled
No
kalshi

WAS Commanders wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,073
N/A
N/A
$4,643
Settled
No
kalshi

IND Colts wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,599
N/A
N/A
$3,229
Settled
No
kalshi

IND Colts wins by over 14.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,520
N/A
N/A
$2,520
Settled
No
kalshi

WAS Commanders wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,169
N/A
N/A
$1,121
Settled
No
kalshi

WAS Commanders wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$979
N/A
N/A
$653
Settled
No
kalshi

WAS Commanders wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$848
N/A
N/A
$841
Settled
No
kalshi

WAS Commanders wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$827
N/A
N/A
$827
Settled
No
kalshi

IND Colts wins by over 17.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$335
N/A
N/A
$335
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either the Indianapolis Colts or the Washington Commanders specifically during the third quarter of their scheduled game on October 4, 2026. Each market corresponds to different point differentials that must be achieved by the winning team in that quarter alone.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the point differential in favor of the winning team exclusively during the third quarter of the Pro Football game between the Indianapolis Colts and Washington Commanders scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold for the margin of victory required for resolution. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward determining the outcome. If the designated team meets or exceeds the specified point differential in that quarter, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets operate independently, and the resolution depends solely on third-quarter performance, irrespective of the overall game result.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Colts-Commanders 3rd quarter spread tracks the current price of contracts representing beliefs about the point differential in the third quarter of the game. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $137,359. Total volume for this market is $141,731. This allows you to see how much activity and interest there is in predicting the outcome of this specific portion of the game.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to trade contracts based on their own insights, leading to odds that can diverge from sportsbook lines as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to breaking news or changes in key player status than traditional sportsbooks.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 3rd quarter spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific spread occurring. Buyers are expressing a belief that the spread will be as they buy, while sellers are betting against it. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 3rd quarter spread is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the game, as reported by official sources. The market will then pay out to contract holders based on whether the actual spread fell above or below the purchased contract’s value. It's important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Colts or Commanders would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also shift the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or in-game performance during the first half of the game could also lead to traders adjusting their positions, impacting the price of contracts in this market.