TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 11:45 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams during a specific quarter of a football game. Bettors can speculate on whether the combined score will exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of risk and reward based on expected scoring dynamics.
All markets resolve based solely on the total points scored by both the Indianapolis Colts and Washington Commanders during the second quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market has a different threshold for 'Yes' resolution: markets resolve to 'Yes' if the combined second-quarter points exceed 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, 10.5, 13.5, 14.5, 17.5, 20.5, 21.5, or 24.5 points respectively. No points scored in any other quarter or outside of regulation play count toward any of these outcomes. All markets operate independently, with each threshold representing a distinct betting opportunity.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook lines. However, it’s important to remember that sportsbooks set their odds to maximize profit, factoring in a “vig” or commission, while this market represents what traders are willing to pay to believe in a particular outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, risk assessments, or simply the dynamics of each venue. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total points scored in the second quarter of the Colts-Commanders game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and widely available sports news outlets. The market will settle to 100 for the contract corresponding to the actual total points scored in the second quarter, and 0 for all other contracts. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the price at which they purchased it.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Colts or Commanders, particularly quarterbacks or offensive skill positions, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they suggest unfavorable conditions for passing or running, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as any shifts in public perception based on pre-game analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.