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IND Colts vs WAS Commanders: 1st Quarter Total
kalshi

What is the result of IND Colts vs WAS Commanders 1st Quarter?

Volume:
$122,600

Over 3.5 points

 - Kalshi

Over 3.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 10:28 AM EST

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Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 3.5 points

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,314
N/A
N/A
$2,384
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,311
N/A
N/A
$25,094
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,845
N/A
N/A
$25,168
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 6.5 points

View
0%
70%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,910
N/A
N/A
$13,088
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 13.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,102
N/A
N/A
$3,736
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 14.5 points

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,550
N/A
N/A
$2,091
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 17.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,970
N/A
N/A
$1,970
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 21.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$952
N/A
N/A
$952
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 20.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$346
N/A
N/A
$338
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 24.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This set of markets evaluates various scoring thresholds for the first quarter of an upcoming football game between two teams. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring performance that bettors can wager on, reflecting expectations about how high-scoring the opening quarter might be.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first quarter of the designated game. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves as 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves as 'No'. The thresholds range progressively from 3.5 points to 24.5 points, allowing bettors to assess different levels of scoring intensity. Only points scored in the first quarter count, and the markets are independent of any broader game outcomes or subsequent quarters. The markets are unofficial and unaffiliated with the governing league.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market is driven by individuals predicting the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it may indicate that prediction market traders have insights sportsbooks haven't fully incorporated. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks in response to new information, like injury reports or weather forecasts, as traders react quickly to adjust their forecasts. The question is whether this market will accurately predict the first quarter score.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of an event occurring. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a 0% to 100% probability. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market aggregates the beliefs of all participants, creating a real-time forecast of the event's likelihood. The current price reflects the collective expectation of whether over 6.5 points will be scored in the first quarter.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total points scored in the first quarter of the Colts versus Commanders game will be used to determine whether the market settles in favor of 'over 6.5 points' or 'under 6.5 points'. The official NFL scoring summary will serve as the source for this information. Traders will have until the conclusion of the first quarter to adjust their positions before the market closes and the outcome is determined.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Colts or Commanders would likely cause movement, as it impacts scoring potential. Changes in weather conditions, particularly strong winds or heavy rain, could also shift the market, as they affect the passing game. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or significant lineup changes could also play a role. Furthermore, public sentiment and large bets from informed traders can create momentum in either direction, influencing the price of contracts in this market.