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2,984,028,936

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410,482

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4,340

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5

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37%

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IND Colts vs WAS Commanders: 1st Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of IND Colts vs WAS Commanders?

Volume:
$122,928

WAS Commanders wins by over 3.5 points

 - Kalshi

WAS Commanders wins by over 3.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 10:28 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

WAS Commanders wins by over 3.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23,193
N/A
N/A
$10,373
Settled
Yes
kalshi

WAS Commanders wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21,335
N/A
N/A
$11,354
Settled
Yes
kalshi

WAS Commanders wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,144
N/A
N/A
$29,902
Settled
No
kalshi

IND Colts wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,549
N/A
N/A
$20,026
Settled
No
kalshi

IND Colts wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,526
N/A
N/A
$5,953
Settled
No
kalshi

IND Colts wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,484
N/A
N/A
$4,207
Settled
No
kalshi

WAS Commanders wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,516
N/A
N/A
$2,830
Settled
No
kalshi

WAS Commanders wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,237
N/A
N/A
$1,500
Settled
No
kalshi

IND Colts wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,266
N/A
N/A
$1,266
Settled
No
kalshi

IND Colts wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$677
N/A
N/A
$677
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either the Indianapolis Colts or the Washington Commanders in the first quarter of their upcoming football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the bet to succeed.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the point differential in the first quarter of the game between the Indianapolis Colts and the Washington Commanders, scheduled for October 4, 2026. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the specified team must win the first quarter by more than the stated point margin—for example, the Colts must win by over 10.5 points, or the Commanders must win by over 7.5 points, depending on the market. Only points scored during the first quarter count toward these resolutions. No other quarters, overtime periods, or post-game events influence the outcome. All markets are independent, meaning each resolves separately based on its unique threshold. The governing league's official scoring and timing will determine the results, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Colts-Commanders 1st quarter spread tracks the current price of contracts representing whether the Indianapolis Colts will win the first quarter by more or less than 7.5 points. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, alongside the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $111,132. The total volume for this market is $122,928. This allows traders to assess market sentiment and potential trading opportunities related to the first quarter spread.

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, they can drive the price on Kalshi in a different direction. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts closer to the event.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a particular outcome – in this case, the Colts winning the first quarter by more than 7.5 points. As more people buy contracts predicting that outcome, the price goes up, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective beliefs of all participants. The current price reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the first quarter of the Colts-Commanders game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official first quarter spread as determined by official league statistics. The market will settle to 100 if the Colts win the first quarter by more than 7.5 points, and to 0 if they do not. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their investment.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game begins. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Colts or Commanders would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s style of play, could also move the market. Unexpected news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also cause price fluctuations. Finally, large trading volume from informed traders could signal shifts in sentiment and drive price movements in either direction.