TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 11:22 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various scoring thresholds for the first half of an upcoming football game between two teams. Each threshold represents a different level of combined points that the teams might achieve before halftime. The outcomes depend solely on the actual points scored during that specific period of play.
These markets determine whether the combined score of the Indianapolis Colts and Washington Commanders in the first half of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026, exceeds specified point thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 42.5 points. Each market corresponds to a unique threshold, and the outcome for each is resolved based on whether the total points scored by both teams during the first half surpass that threshold. Only points scored in the first half count toward resolution, and all markets operate independently—meaning the result of one threshold does not affect the others. The markets cover a broad spectrum of scoring possibilities, allowing participants to assess varying levels of offensive performance in the first half. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about whether the first half total will be over or under the specified line. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations as new information becomes available, creating a forward-looking indicator for the game’s first half total.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final first half total points scored in the Colts-Commanders game will be used to determine whether the 'over' or 'under' contract wins. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and the corresponding payout for their contracts after the game concludes and the data is verified.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to and during the game. News regarding key player injuries for either the Colts or Commanders would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. In-game events, such as early scoring drives or defensive stops, will also cause rapid adjustments to the price as traders react to the unfolding action. Any significant public sentiment shifts or expert analysis could also contribute to changes in this market.