TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming football game, allowing participants to speculate on the performance of either team relative to various scoring thresholds. The outcomes depend solely on the official game results, reflecting the competitive balance between the two teams.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified team scores more than a designated point threshold in the game between the Indianapolis Colts and the Pittsburgh Steelers scheduled for October 11, 2026. If the team achieves the stated point total or higher, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' The thresholds vary incrementally for both teams, offering multiple levels of scoring performance to evaluate. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The governing league's official score determines the outcome, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or ownership of related trademarks.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. If a significant discrepancy emerges between this market and sportsbook lines, it might indicate differing opinions or information advantages held by traders. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than traditional betting markets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market considers a fair representation of the event's probability. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if the team total falls within the specified range.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team total for both the Indianapolis Colts and the Pittsburgh Steelers is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official team totals as reported by the NFL will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution process ensures an objective and transparent determination of the outcome, based on publicly available data. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their contracts align with the actual team totals at the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. News regarding key player injuries to either the Colts or Steelers would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced by either team could also move the price. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team morale or internal conflicts could influence trader sentiment and cause fluctuations in this market.