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419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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VS.
Kalshi:
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Closed: Oct 11, 4:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether the Pittsburgh Steelers will win their game against the Indianapolis Colts by more than 1.5 points. Currently, the probability of this outcome occurring on Kalshi is 56.0%. Resolution will be determined by the final point differential in the IND Colts vs PIT Steelers Pro Football game originally scheduled for October 11, 2026, as reported by the official game results. Keep a close watch on the outcome of the game itself on October 11, 2026, to see if the Steelers achieve the necessary point margin for a ‘Yes’ resolution.
All markets resolve based on the final official score of the Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Indianapolis Colts NFL game scheduled for October 11, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team exceeds the specified point differential indicated in the market title. For markets where the Steelers win by more than the stated points, that market resolves to 'Yes.' Conversely, for markets where the Colts win by more than the stated points, that specific market resolves to 'Yes.' If no team meets their respective threshold, all markets resolve to 'No.' The markets encompass a range of margins from narrow victories (e.g., over 1.5 points) to decisive wins (e.g., over 20.5 points), providing granular coverage of potential outcomes. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NFL or its teams, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds tend to align with those offered by sportsbooks, but can often diverge, especially as new information emerges. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the odds here will shift accordingly. This can provide an alternative perspective on the likely outcome of the game, potentially identifying discrepancies between public perception and professional analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the final point spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The more traders who believe the Steelers will win by a certain margin, the higher the price of contracts reflecting that outcome will climb.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Colts versus Steelers game. The market will settle to 100 if the actual spread matches the contract’s specified point difference, and to 0 if it does not. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team – such as the Colts’ quarterback or the Steelers’ star receiver – would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing game, could also shift the odds. Unexpected coaching decisions or late-breaking reports about team strategy could also impact trader sentiment and move this market before the game takes place.