TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points specifically in the 4th quarter of an upcoming NFL game between the Indianapolis Colts and the Pittsburgh Steelers. The outcome depends solely on the performance of each team during the final quarter of play, excluding any overtime periods.
If Pittsburgh wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the IND Colts vs PIT Steelers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Indianapolis wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the IND Colts vs PIT Steelers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the IND Colts vs PIT Steelers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by real money trading and public sentiment. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional polls, but it is important to compare the odds to see if there are any significant differences before making a decision.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about which team will win the fourth quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in each outcome, providing a dynamic assessment of the potential result.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team leading at the end of the fourth quarter will be declared the winner. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will forfeit their investment. The final result will be publicly available on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Key player injuries to either the Colts or the Steelers would likely have a significant impact, as would any major changes in team strategy or coaching decisions. Unexpected news regarding player availability, weather conditions, or even pre-game analysis from sports commentators could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi could indicate informed betting activity and cause the prices to fluctuate rapidly. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities.