TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both the Indianapolis Colts and the Pittsburgh Steelers during the second quarter of their upcoming game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to resolve as 'Yes', allowing participants to bet on various levels of scoring intensity in that specific quarter.
The markets resolve based on whether the combined points scored by both the Indianapolis Colts and Pittsburgh Steelers exceed specified thresholds during the second quarter of their game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market features a unique point threshold, ranging from over 3.5 points to over 24.5 points. Only points scored during the second quarter of play are considered for resolution. All markets operate independently, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others. The governing league’s official scoring and game timing will determine the results. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with or connected to the league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive view of the likely outcome, though it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people believe the outcome will happen, the price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the second quarter of the Colts-Steelers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by the NFL. Traders who correctly predicted the total points scored in the second quarter will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Colts or Steelers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also shift trader sentiment. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also play a role. Even general public perception and betting trends in traditional sportsbooks can indirectly affect trading activity in this market.