TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both the Indianapolis Colts and Pittsburgh Steelers during the second half of their football game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to resolve as 'Yes'.
These markets evaluate whether the combined score of the Indianapolis Colts and Pittsburgh Steelers exceeds specified thresholds in the second half (including overtime) of their game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market features a unique point threshold, ranging from 3.5 to 42.5 points. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the total points scored by both teams during the second half must surpass its respective threshold. Only points scored in the second half count toward these markets, meaning any points from the first half are irrelevant. All markets are independent, and the outcome of one does not affect the others. The governing league’s official scoring and game records will determine resolution. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own predictions, and the resulting price can incorporate a broader range of information and perspectives. Often, you’ll find prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than traditional sportsbooks, as the continuous trading reflects evolving beliefs. It’s a fascinating comparison to observe.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total score of the second half of the Colts-Steelers game. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price converges as more traders participate. The more contracts purchased for a specific total, the higher the price will climb, reflecting increased confidence in that outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to accurately reflect the collective predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the second half of the Colts-Steelers game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The total points scored in the second half, as officially recorded by the NFL, will be the basis for settlement. Any adjustments or corrections made by the NFL to the official score will be reflected in the resolution of this market. The outcome will be determined based on the official NFL results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Colts or the Steelers would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the scoring environment, could also move the market. In-game events, such as early scoring drives or defensive stops, will cause rapid price adjustments as traders react to the unfolding action. Public sentiment and any late-breaking analysis from sports commentators could also contribute to shifts in the price of this market.