TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:12 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the outcome of a football game between the Indianapolis Colts and the Pittsburgh Steelers, specifically analyzing how much one team might win by during the second half of play. Each market represents a different point differential threshold that determines whether a bet is successful.
The markets resolve based on the point differential between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Indianapolis Colts in the second half (including overtime) of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market specifies a different point spread threshold, ranging from over 1.5 points to over 13.5 points, for either team to win by. If the winning team exceeds the specified threshold in the second half, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored during the second half and any overtime periods count toward these markets. The outcome is determined solely by the performance in the latter part of the game, making early-game results irrelevant to the resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Analyzing these differences can provide insights into where the crowd believes the value lies compared to the sportsbook's assessment of the Colts-Steelers second half spread.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, similar to a stock exchange. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the second half, and the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people believe the Colts will cover a particular spread, the price of contracts representing that spread will increase. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective prediction of all traders participating in this market for the Colts-Steelers second half spread.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the second half of the Colts-Steelers game will be determined by official game statistics. Contracts will pay out $1.00 for every $1.00 invested if the actual spread matches the purchased contract, and less if it does not. The exact payout will depend on the final score differential and the specific spread purchased in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Colts or the Steelers would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they affect the passing or running game, could also move the market. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume in either direction, even without specific news, can indicate shifting sentiment and cause the price of the Colts-Steelers second half spread to change.