TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:48 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various scoring thresholds for the first half of an upcoming football game between two teams. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring performance, allowing participants to assess the potential pace and intensity of the game in its initial stages.
These markets resolve based on the total points scored by both the Indianapolis Colts and the Pittsburgh Steelers during the first half of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold, ranging from over 3.5 points to over 42.5 points. If the combined score of both teams exceeds the specified threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored during the first half of the game are considered, and all markets are independent, each evaluating a distinct scoring benchmark. The markets are not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe the actual first half total will be higher or lower than what sportsbooks offer, the price on Kalshi will adjust accordingly, potentially offering more favorable odds for informed bettors. It’s a dynamic comparison, as both markets react to new information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible total point values for the first half of the Colts-Steelers game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific total occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likely outcome. This creates a dynamic and real-time representation of expectations for the game’s first half total.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first half total score of the Colts-Steelers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle to the value of 100 for the contract corresponding to the actual first half total points scored. Any contracts for other totals will settle to 0. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries to starting quarterbacks, running backs, or key defensive players for either the Colts or the Steelers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting scoring, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking reports about team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, might also impact trading volume and price adjustments on Kalshi.