TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 10:00 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate whether the combined score of both teams in a specific college football game exceeds various thresholds. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess the potential for high-scoring outcomes in the matchup.
The markets resolve based on whether the total points scored by both teams in the Incarnate Word vs Stephen F. Austin college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026, exceeds specified thresholds ranging from 36.5 to 76.5 points. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the final official score. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, the markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under varying scheduling circumstances.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides, while this market’s price is determined by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the final points total. It’s common to see differences emerge as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts, and these differences can sometimes present opportunities for informed traders. However, both aim to predict the same underlying event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point totals for the Incarnate Word vs Stephen F. Austin game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific point total occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The current price movements indicate the collective expectation of the final score, and the 24-hour volume shows how actively the market is being traded.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final points total scored in the Incarnate Word vs Stephen F. Austin game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual final points total will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect totals will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. News regarding key player injuries for either the Incarnate Word or Stephen F. Austin teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring a high- or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Finally, any major shifts in public perception or betting trends, even those unrelated to concrete information, can influence the collective prediction reflected in this market.