TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 05d:04h:37m
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This group covers the college football game between Incarnate Word and Southeastern Louisiana, scheduled for November 7th. Markets exist on the winner of the game, the point spread, and the total points scored. Resolution depends on the official outcome of the game, including overtime.
In the upcoming college football game between Incarnate Word and Southeastern Louisiana, scheduled for November 7 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Incarnate Word" if Incarnate Word win the game. This market will resolve to "Southeastern Louisiana" if Southeastern Louisiana win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves to Yes if the named team wins the specified college football game scheduled for Nov 7, 2026. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original schedule, the market stays open to resolve based on the final outcome. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks are property of their respective owners.
In the upcoming college football game between Incarnate Word and Southeastern Louisiana, scheduled for November 7 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Incarnate Word" if Incarnate Word win the game. This market will resolve to "Southeastern Louisiana" if Southeastern Louisiana win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a house edge and public perception. Prediction markets, however, are driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs, creating a more organic reflection of true probabilities. This can lead to more accurate forecasts, especially as more information becomes available. Furthermore, prediction markets allow participants to hedge bets and arbitrage opportunities, which isn't typically possible with sportsbooks. The current volume on this market is $11.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The differing prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Incarnate Word vs. Southeastern Louisiana game stem from several factors. Each platform has a unique user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading fees, market-making incentives, and liquidity also play a role. Additionally, the specific market structures offered on each platform – for example, one might offer a simple win/loss market while the other has over/under options – can influence pricing. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Spread: Southeastern Louisiana (-5.5) at 99.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Southeastern Louisiana wins at 58.0%.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Incarnate Word vs. Southeastern Louisiana game will be used to determine the winning contract. The market will settle based on the official game result as reported by a widely recognized sports data provider. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift probabilities in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Incarnate Word or Southeastern Louisiana teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected, could also move the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might affect traders' assessments. As the game draws closer, any shifts in public sentiment or expert predictions could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.